Addressing the elephant in the room

Election results would be the same today, Trump would win again

election

Trump would win again if election were held today. This proves that the press is still lying to us. According to a recent CNN survey 59% disapprove of the President. If this were true there would be no way for Trump to win now.

Confronted with the events of the past 12 months and even Trump’s unprecedented unpopularity — 59 percent disapprove of his presidency — a new poll shows that 2016 voters look as though they’d still pick Trump, albeit about as narrowly as they did before.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll asked respondents how they’d vote in a redo of the 2016 election, and, if anything, Clinton seems to have lost more ground than Trump. Among those who voted, 46 percent say they picked Clinton last year and 43 percent picked Trump — a slightly more favorable sample than the 2016 election, in which Clinton won the popular vote by two percentage points. But in a head-to-head rematch, Clinton’s support drops even more than Trump’s does, and they wind up in a 40-40 tie. Given that Trump over-performed in key, blue-leaning swing states, that means he’d probably have won again.

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Interestingly, Clinton actually seems to have lost that ground because of disillusioned Democrats. Even as the Trump presidency has unified the Democratic Party against him and his policies, just 72 percent of Democrats said they would vote for Clinton in a rematch — vs. the 84 percent who said they did vote for Clinton last year. Trump’s share of the Republican Party, meanwhile, dropped just five points from 89 percent who said they did vote for him to 84 percent who said they would do it again.

(Almost all of the Democrats who would no longer vote for Clinton would opt for a third choice — 9 percent go to Gary Johnson, Jill Stein or someone else — while the others would not pick a candidate. Trump does not pick up any of this support)

Clinton also loses 10 points in terms of support from nonwhite voters. While 64 percent say they voted for her, just 54 percent said they would do so in a rematch.

The utility of this question is, of course, limited. Clinton seems to be done with running for office, and there will not be a redo of the 2016 election. The question is purely hypothetical.

The mainstream press is indeed lying to us. President Trump has been wildly successful. The stock market has reached historical highs. Unemployment is at lowest level since 1973. Our enemies and the world once again respect America. And if Hillary Clinton were the candidate again America truly knows how crooked Hillary is a traitor and sold out the US to our arch-enemy Russia.

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2 Comments to Election results would be the same today, Trump would win again

  1. You are a very smart individual!

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